养老院行业发展趋势分析
随着国家经济的发展,我们已经逐步开始进入老龄化社会。因为我国人口基数大,老年人人口众多,根据外国经验,我们推测国内养老院市场广阔。由此,民间有不少投资者欲求投资盈利性养老院。现对2017年养老院行业发展趋势分析。
With the development of the national economy, we have gradually begun to enter the aging society. Because our country has a large population base and a large population of the elderly, according to foreign experience, we speculate that the domestic nursing home market is vast. As a result, many private investors want to invest in for-profit nursing homes. The development trend of nursing home industry in 2017 is analyzed.
2016-2021年养老院行业深度分析及“十三五”发展规划指导报告表明,社区养老是衔接机构养老与居家养老最好的“桥头堡”。在国家“9073”养老布局下,如何创新社区养老模式,将机构养老中的专业康护体系、国际医疗资源、金融保险保障等亮点有效地嫁接到居家养老,如何将医养融合落实到社区养老模式中,成为助力政府社区养老工程的关键利器,破解中国式社区养老的难点与出路。
2016-2021 depth analysis of the nursing home industry and the "13th Five-Year" development planning report shows that community care is the interface between the best and old-age pension institutions "bridgehead". In the "9073" national endowment layout, how pension model innovation community, will endowment institutions in the professional health care system, international medical resources, insurance and other financial highlights effectively grafted to the old-age home, how will the medical support integration into the community endowment mode, has become a key tool to help the government to the community endowment project, difficulties and the way of China type community endowment crack.
2017年养老院行业发展趋势分析
Analysis of the development trend of nursing home industry in 2017
业内人士认为,中国私立养老院市场广阔,但需要政府的相关扶持和配套制度的完善。全国范围内,短期内不是最佳的投资机会。部分政策优惠的试点可以预先尝试。
The industry believes that China's private nursing home market is vast, but the government needs to support and improve the supporting system. Nationwide, not the best investment opportunities in the short term. Part of the policy concessions pilot can try in advance.
据最新第六次全国人口普查数据显示,大陆人口中65岁及以上人口为118831709人,占总人口的8.87%。预计在2014年中国老年人将超过2亿,2025年将达到3亿。社会老龄化的加剧为盈利性养老院创造了广阔的市场。又因为中国的空巢老人越来越多、失能和半失能的老年人超过3000万等现实的出现,也利于盈利性养老院市场的形成。随着国家经济的发展,国民收入的提高,国家法律政策的支持,为盈利性养老院的建立创造了外在条件。
According to the latest sixth national census data, the mainland population is 65 years old and above the population of 118831709 people, accounting for 8.87% of the total population. Expected in 2014, China's elderly will be more than 200 million, in 2025 will reach 300 million. The intensification of social aging has created a broad market for for-profit nursing homes. Because China's empty nest elderly more and more, disability and semi disability of the elderly more than 30 million of the emergence of reality, but also conducive to the formation of for-profit nursing home market. With the development of the national economy, the improvement of national income and the support of the national laws and policies, the external conditions have been created for the establishment of the profit-making nursing home.
即便如此,盈利性养老市场也存在诸多障碍。首先,随着近年来房价的不断攀升,土地价格在其中扮演重要“动力”。这无疑增加了盈利性养老院的投资成本和投资风险。其次,国内盈利性养老院管理经验缺乏,缺少专业服务性的支持,相关领域的人才配备不足,在现实实践中产生诸多问题。最后,国家法律政策的不完善,真正落实到对盈利性养老院的扶助资金又很少;再加中国传统的居家养老思想仍旧没有改变,这些无疑都阻碍着中国民间盈利性养老院市场的形成和发展。
Even so, there are many obstacles in the for-profit pension market. First of all, with the rising prices in recent years, land prices play an important driving force in them". This undoubtedly increases the investment costs and investment risks of for-profit nursing homes. Secondly, lack of experience in the management of for-profit nursing home, lack of professional and service support, lack of qualified personnel in related fields, and many problems in practical practice. Finally, the national law and policy is not perfect, truly implement in for-profit nursing home assistance funds and rarely; plus Chinese traditional home care thought still has not changed, which undoubtedly hindered the formation and development of folk China nursing home market profitability.
当然,由于各方面的原因,中国养老的社会化将不可避免。相关企业和投资主体可以预先关注该领域,等待国家相关政策法规健全之时,再投资该领域也为时不晚。不过相关投资者也莫过于乐观,由于深受中国传统家文化的影响,家庭养老应该是中国的主要养老方式。并且,这还是在没有考虑国民贫富差距的前提下所做的分析。
Of course, due to various reasons, the socialization of China's retirement will be inevitable. Related enterprises and investors can be concerned about this field, waiting for the sound of national policies and regulations, and investment in this area is not too late. However, the relevant investors are no more optimistic. As a result of the influence of Chinese traditional family culture, family support should be the main means of providing for the aged in china. And that's the analysis without considering the wealth gap between the rich and the poor.
据了解,中国民间盈利性养老院,长期来看市场前景广阔,极具投资价值;短期来看,由于缺乏专业的人才和配套的法律政策,现在投资民间盈利性养老院时机尚不成熟,风险较大。
It is understood that the China folk for-profit nursing homes, the long term market prospects, great investment value; the short term, due to the lack of professional personnel and supporting the legal policy, the time investment of private nursing homes profitability is still not mature, risk.